7:00 AM | *Mid-week Mid-Atlantic storm on its way; heaviest snow likely to our south, but accumulations here as well*

6-Day Forecast

Today

Sun early, clouds late, cold, highs in the low-to-mid 40’s

Tonight

Becoming cloudy, cold, chance for rain, snow or a mix late, lows in the low 30’s

Wednesday

Cloudy, periods or rain developing, becoming windy, cold, low 40’s

Wednesday Night

Cloudy, windy, cold, rain changes to accumulating snow, accumulations on the order of 2-4 inches by morning, low-to-mid 30’s

Thursday

Cloudy with lingering morning snow showers, cold, windy, low-to-mid 40’s

Friday

Cloudy, breezy, chilly, rain or snow showers likely, mid 40’s

Saturday

Mostly sunny, not as chilly, near 50

Sunday

Partly sunny, mild, near 50

Discussion

A major storm is headed towards the Mid-Atlantic region for late tonight and Wednesday and while it will likely bring significant snow to much of West Virginia, Virginia, Maryland and the DC metro region, our region will be on the northern fringes of the storm’s heaviest precipitation band. Low pressure will drop southeastward today across the Ohio Valley reaching southern West Virginia by tonight. From there, the storm should move to the southeastern Virginia coast by around mid-day tomorrow and then intensify as it pulls slowly to the northeast. The heaviest precipitation amounts from this storm continue to seem destined for the region between eastern West Virginia and the Delmarva Peninsula; however, there has been quite a battle going on between the US models (GFS, NAM) and the foreign models (Euro UKMET) with respect to how much precipitation makes it northward into Pennsylvania, New Jersey and New York. The US models have been farther north with their precipitation fields while models like the Euro have suppressed the heaviest precipitation amounts to just south of Philly. This discrepancy continues, but there is certainly enough information that leads me to believe that the precipitation field can extend up the I-95 corridor to the NYC region by early tomorrow with rain likely around here during the day and then snow tomorrow night that can accumulate on the order of 2-4 inches by Thursday morning.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/OlHcalCbYbI