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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: KSC

7:00 AM (Thursday) | *Tropical activity still having an influence here*

Paul Dorian

An active tropical scene in the Atlantic Basin is still having an impact around here with Hurricane Larry situated well out over the central Atlantic, but contributing to rip currents in this area and the threat will last right to the weekend. In addition, a strong tropical wave that has been situated over the Gulf of Mexico is going to cut across the northern half of Florida in the near term and this will enhance chances of downpour activity in the local area.

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7:00 AM | *Tropical activity in the Atlantic Basin still having an impact in Florida*

Paul Dorian

An active tropical scene in the Atlantic Basin is still playing a role in the weather across east-central Florida with Hurricane Larry situated well to our east over the central Atlantic, but contributing to a local threat of rip currents right through the week. Later this week, a tropical disturbance now over the Gulf of Mexico, is likely to take a turn to the northeast and it could result in some heavy rainfall around here as it potentially cuts across the northern half of the state.

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7:00 AM | *Threat of rip currents right through the week*

Paul Dorian

An active tropical scene in the Atlantic Basin is still playing a role in the weather across east-central Florida with Hurricane Larry situated well to our east over the central Atlantic, but contributing to a local threat of rip currents right through the week. Later this week, a tropical disturbance now over the Gulf of Mexico, is likely to take a turn to the northeast and it could result in some heavy rainfall around here as it potentially cuts across the northern half of the state.

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7:00 AM | *A somewhat unsettled Labor Day weekend*

Paul Dorian

It’ll stay somewhat unsettled around here for the next few days with the combination of a lot of low-level moisture and a stalled-out weak frontal system. There will be a daily shot at showers and thunderstorms across central Florida, but much of the time through the weekend will be rain-free.

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7:00 AM | **Impact today shifts to the Tennessee Valley from the remains of Ida...to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US on Wednesday and Thursday**

Paul Dorian

The remnants of Hurricane Ida will push to the northeast today bringing significant rainfall to the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys and then this large tropical moisture field will reach the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US later tomorrow and tomorrow night. The Atlantic Basin remains quite active as we close out the month of August and activity is likely to remain quite high well into the first half of September.

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7:00 AM | ***Remnants of Hurricane Ida to push into the TN Valley and then turn northeast to the Mid-Atlantic/NE US***

Paul Dorian

“Major” Hurricane Ida slammed into Louisiana on Sunday and the remnants will move to the north today and then to the northeast over the next couple of days. Significant rainfall will push into the Tennessee Valley in the near-term and then reach the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US in the Wednesday/Thursday time period. The Atlantic Basin remains very active as we close in on the end of the month with multiple tropical systems out over the open waters.

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8:30 AM (Sunday) | *****"Major" Hurricane Ida closing in on Louisiana…rapid intensification has brought it to near Category 5…post-landfall track brings heavy rain to TN Valley/Mid-Atlantic/NE US*****

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Ida is making a run at Category 5 status in the remaining few hours before landfall along the southeastern Louisiana coastline. The latest observations of Ida include a well-defined eye, max sustained winds at 150 mph after rapid intensification of this system in the past 24 hours, and a northwest movement towards the Louisiana coastline. After landfall later today, Hurricane Ida will remain quite strong as it moves inland and it will gradually turn to the north in the nighttime hours and then take a turn to the northeast by mid-week. The post-landfall track will bring significant rainfall to the Tennessee Valley and then to the Mid-Atlantic region/Northeast US in the Wednesday/Thursday time period.

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10:30 AM | *****Powerful hurricane threat continues for the northern Gulf coastal region in the late Sunday time frame…rapid intensification of “Ida” this weekend likely to result in a “major”*****

Paul Dorian

The Atlantic Basin remains active today with three systems on the tropical scene, but the one just to the south of western Cuba is of most concern at this time. There are strong signs that this system now officially known as “Tropical Storm Ida” will undergo rapid intensification this weekend once it gets past Cuba and out over the open warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico. The expected rapid intensification is likely to result in a “major” hurricane classification (i.e., category 3 or higher) of Ida before it makes landfall likely in the northern Gulf coastal region late Sunday or Sunday night. After landfall, the remnants of Ida will turn north initially and then to the northeast and tropical storm conditions could exist all the way into the Tennessee Valley. This post-landfall track would bring significant rainfall to the Tennessee Valley early next week – the last thing they need after recent flooding rains – and perhaps to the Mid-Atlantic region around mid-week.

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7:00 AM | ***Powerful hurricane threat continues for the northern Gulf coastal region***

Paul Dorian

The Atlantic Basin tropical scene remains quite active as we end the work week with two systems out over the open waters of the ocean and a third system over the northwestern part of the Caribbean Sea. It is this third system now over the Caribbean that is of most concern as it presents a big threat of a powerful hurricane by later Sunday in the northern Gulf coastal region. This tropical system is likely to undergo rapid intensification this weekend and could attain “major” hurricane status (i.e., category 3 or higher) before a potential landfall late in the weekend.

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12:30 PM | *Hurricane threat continues to grow for the western/central Gulf coast in the late Sunday/Monday time frame…rapid intensification possible with this system - perhaps even into a ”major”*

Paul Dorian

The Atlantic Basin remains quite active today with three systems on the tropical scene, but the one over the west-central Caribbean Sea is of most concern at this time. There are strong signs that this system now officially known as “Tropical Depression 9” can reach hurricane status by the early part of the weekend over the Gulf of Mexico and then perhaps close in on the western/central Gulf coast by later Sunday or Monday. There is even the chance that TD 9 undergoes rapid intensification and strengthens enough in coming days to reach “major” hurricane status (i.e., category 3 or higher).

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